In this study, we investigate the impact of the age of prime ministers and ministers on the stability of governments across 21 democracies. We examine this issue by using Cox survival analysis, leveraging an original dataset and adopting a comparative perspective. The findings of the study document that younger prime ministers face a lower risk of government discretionary termination compared to their older counterparts. This effect does not appear to be statistically significant for cabinet ministers. By shedding light on this uncharted relationship, we contribute to the flourishing literature on youth representation in politics and the established research agenda on the factors affecting the survival in office of democratic governments. We conclude the study by discussing the implications of the findings for democracy and suggesting avenues for future research.
Improta, M., Mannoni, E. (2025). Rulers’ Age and the Stability of Governments: A Survival Analysis. GOVERNMENT AND OPPOSITION, 61, 1-29 [10.1017/gov.2025.10024].
Rulers’ Age and the Stability of Governments: A Survival Analysis
Improta, Marco
;Mannoni, Elisabetta
2025-01-01
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the impact of the age of prime ministers and ministers on the stability of governments across 21 democracies. We examine this issue by using Cox survival analysis, leveraging an original dataset and adopting a comparative perspective. The findings of the study document that younger prime ministers face a lower risk of government discretionary termination compared to their older counterparts. This effect does not appear to be statistically significant for cabinet ministers. By shedding light on this uncharted relationship, we contribute to the flourishing literature on youth representation in politics and the established research agenda on the factors affecting the survival in office of democratic governments. We conclude the study by discussing the implications of the findings for democracy and suggesting avenues for future research.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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urn_cambridge.org_id_binary_20260116055857287-0531_S0017257X25100249_S0017257X25100249sup001.pdf
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https://hdl.handle.net/11365/1307655
