We consider a dynamic portfolio selection problem in a finite horizon binomial market model, composed of a non-dividend-paying risky stock and a risk-free bond. We assume that the investor’s behavior distinguishes between gains and losses, as in the classical cumulative prospect theory (CPT). This is achieved by considering preferences that are represented by a CPT-like functional, depending on an S-shaped utility function. At the same time, we model investor’s beliefs on gains and losses through two different epsilon-contaminations of the “real-world” probability measure. We formulate the portfolio selection problem in terms of the final wealth and reduce it to an iterative search problem over the set of optimal solutions of a family of non-linear optimization problems.

Cinfrignini, A., Petturiti, D., Vantaggi, B. (2025). Behavioral Dynamic Portfolio Selection via Epsilon-Contaminations. In Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems; : 20th International Conference, IPMU 2024, Lisbon, Portugal, July 22-26, 2024, Proceedings, Volume 3. Springer International Publishing.

Behavioral Dynamic Portfolio Selection via Epsilon-Contaminations

Andrea Cinfrignini;
2025-01-01

Abstract

We consider a dynamic portfolio selection problem in a finite horizon binomial market model, composed of a non-dividend-paying risky stock and a risk-free bond. We assume that the investor’s behavior distinguishes between gains and losses, as in the classical cumulative prospect theory (CPT). This is achieved by considering preferences that are represented by a CPT-like functional, depending on an S-shaped utility function. At the same time, we model investor’s beliefs on gains and losses through two different epsilon-contaminations of the “real-world” probability measure. We formulate the portfolio selection problem in terms of the final wealth and reduce it to an iterative search problem over the set of optimal solutions of a family of non-linear optimization problems.
2025
9783031739965
Cinfrignini, A., Petturiti, D., Vantaggi, B. (2025). Behavioral Dynamic Portfolio Selection via Epsilon-Contaminations. In Information Processing and Management of Uncertainty in Knowledge-Based Systems; : 20th International Conference, IPMU 2024, Lisbon, Portugal, July 22-26, 2024, Proceedings, Volume 3. Springer International Publishing.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11365/1276600